Nice
4–2–3 · Beat Stade Rennais 5–2, Oct 30
Next: at Angers, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Nice has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 1.04 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.08 a game over, 48th of 110.
last 4
+1.05
before
−0.70
-202
Oct 11, 2026 vs Strasbourg +0.58
Oct 18, 2026 @ Lyon −0.60
Oct 23, 2026 @ Brest +1.17
Oct 30, 2026 vs Stade Rennais +3.03
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10count
May 17, 2026 vs Metz 0
Aug 22 vs Lorient 0
Aug 30 @ Paris FC −3
Sep 5 vs Le Mans 0
Sep 12 @ AJ Auxerre −1
Sep 20 vs Lille +1- Oct 11 vs Strasbourg +1
- Oct 18 @ Lyon −1
- Oct 23 @ Brest +1
- Oct 30 vs Stade Rennais +3
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
- May 17, 2026 vs Metz 0
- Aug 22 vs Lorient 0
- Aug 30 @ Paris FC −3
- Sep 5 vs Le Mans 0
- Sep 12 @ AJ Auxerre −1
- Sep 20 vs Lille +1
- Oct 11 vs Strasbourg +1
- Oct 18 @ Lyon −1
- Oct 23 @ Brest +1
- Oct 30 vs Stade Rennais +3
- Won 3 of its last 10 at homecount
- Mar 8, 2026 vs Stade Rennais −4
Mar 21, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain −4
Apr 12, 2026 vs Le Havre AC 0
May 2, 2026 vs Lens 0- May 17, 2026 vs Metz 0
- Aug 22 vs Lorient 0
- Sep 5 vs Le Mans 0
- Sep 20 vs Lille +1
- Oct 11 vs Strasbourg +1
- Oct 30 vs Stade Rennais +3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.16 · 50th | −0.25 · 34th |
| Expected goals | −0.32 · 77th | −0.06 · 47th |
| Shots | −2.0 · 69th | −0.3 · 42nd |
| Points | +0.18 · 33rd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.