Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Valencia @ Elche

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Valencia 1, Elche 0

Valencia at Elche: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameValencia1 gameElche1 game
Goals−0.56−1.69
Goals conceded−1.61+0.10
Expected goals−0.53−0.12
Expected goals conceded+0.14−0.12
Shots−9.1+0.4
Shots conceded+3.0−6.0
Points+1.63−1.85

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Valencia

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Elche’s goals conceded were 1.60 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.00 over expected.
  • At home, Elche’s goals conceded were 1.01 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.00 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Valencia’s shots conceded were 5.5 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.
  • On the road, Valencia’s shots were 2.6 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at ElcheValencia 1, Elche 0
Apr 11, 2026at ElcheElche 1, Valencia 0
Jan 10, 2026at ValenciaElche 1, Valencia 1
Apr 23, 2023at ElcheValencia 2, Elche 0
Oct 15, 2022at ValenciaElche 2, Valencia 2
Mar 19, 2022at ElcheValencia 1, Elche 0
Dec 11, 2021at ValenciaValencia 2, Elche 1
Jan 30, 2021at ValenciaValencia 1, Elche 0
Oct 23, 2020at ElcheElche 2, Valencia 1
Mar 20, 2015at ElcheValencia 4, Elche 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.