Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Cagliari @ Lazio

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Lazio 2, Cagliari 1

Cagliari at Lazio: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCagliari1 gameLazio1 game
Goals−0.26+0.39
Goals conceded−0.25−0.02
Expected goals−0.02−0.50
Expected goals conceded−0.21+0.19
Shots−3.1−6.5
Shots conceded−3.9−1.9
Points−0.66+1.46

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lazio

Cagliari

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lazio

  • Lazio had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Lazio had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Lazio leads the series 27–6–8 since 2004-05. Lazio has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Lazio’s shots were 3.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.9 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Cagliari’s expected goals conceded were 0.71 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.44 under expected.
  • On the road, Cagliari’s yellow cards were 0.8 under expected in 5 games. A −1.1 difference in yellow cards over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 8 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at LazioLazio 2, Cagliari 1
Feb 21, 2026at CagliariLazio 0, Cagliari 0
Nov 3, 2025at LazioLazio 2, Cagliari 0
Feb 3, 2025at CagliariLazio 2, Cagliari 1
Nov 4, 2024at LazioLazio 2, Cagliari 1
Feb 10, 2024at CagliariLazio 3, Cagliari 1
Dec 2, 2023at LazioLazio 1, Cagliari 0
Mar 5, 2022at CagliariLazio 3, Cagliari 0
Sep 19, 2021at LazioLazio 2, Cagliari 2
Feb 7, 2021at LazioLazio 1, Cagliari 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.