AS Monaco @
Paris FC
Paris FC 3, AS Monaco 1
| a game | AS Monaco1 game | Paris FC1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.37 | +1.57 |
| Goals conceded | +1.25 | −0.32 |
| Expected goals | +0.04 | +0.56 |
| Expected goals conceded | +0.53 | −0.15 |
| Shots | −1.7 | +5.5 |
| Shots conceded | +4.8 | −3.3 |
| Points | −1.08 | +1.80 |
Who put up numbers
Paris FC
- GoalsLassine Sinayoko2 goals
- AssistsMoses Simon1 assist
- Goals + assistsLassine Sinayoko3 goals + assists
AS Monaco
Analysis
The series
- Paris FC leads the series 3–0 since 2025-26. Paris FC has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Paris FC had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Against a top-half team, Paris FC’s goals conceded were 1.05 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.24 under expected.
- At home, Paris FC’s points were 0.92 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.64 over expected.
- Against a top-half team, AS Monaco’s expected goals were 0.91 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.18 over expected.
- On the road, AS Monaco’s goals conceded were 0.76 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.65 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | at Paris FC | Paris FC 3, AS Monaco 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | at Paris FC | Paris FC 4, AS Monaco 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | at AS Monaco | Paris FC 1, AS Monaco 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.