Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

AS Monaco @ Paris FC

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Paris FC 3, AS Monaco 1

AS Monaco at Paris FC: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAS Monaco1 gameParis FC1 game
Goals−0.37+1.57
Goals conceded+1.25−0.32
Expected goals+0.04+0.56
Expected goals conceded+0.53−0.15
Shots−1.7+5.5
Shots conceded+4.8−3.3
Points−1.08+1.80

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Paris FC

AS Monaco

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Paris FC leads the series 3–0 since 2025-26. Paris FC has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Paris FC had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Paris FC’s goals conceded were 1.05 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.24 under expected.
  • At home, Paris FC’s points were 0.92 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.64 over expected.
  • Against a top-half team, AS Monaco’s expected goals were 0.91 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.18 over expected.
  • On the road, AS Monaco’s goals conceded were 0.76 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.65 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at Paris FCParis FC 3, AS Monaco 1
Apr 10, 2026at Paris FCParis FC 4, AS Monaco 1
Nov 1, 2025at AS MonacoParis FC 1, AS Monaco 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.