Paris FC
5–2–2 · Beat AS Monaco 3–1, Nov 1
Next: at AJ Auxerre, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Paris FC has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.04 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.45 a game over, 20th of 110.
last 4
+0.04
before
+0.77
-1012
Oct 10, 2026 @ Lorient −1.51
Oct 18, 2026 vs Stade Rennais +0.54
Oct 24, 2026 @ Lens −0.78
Nov 1, 2026 vs AS Monaco +1.90
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 22, 2026 vs Le Havre AC +1- Apr 10, 2026 vs AS Monaco +3
Apr 26, 2026 vs Lille −1
May 3, 2026 vs Brest +4
May 17, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain +1
Aug 30 vs Nice +3
Sep 12 vs Lyon 0
Sep 19 vs Strasbourg +1- Oct 18 vs Stade Rennais +1
- Nov 1 vs AS Monaco +2
- Won 6 of its last 10count
- May 17, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain +1
Aug 22 @ Troyes 0- Aug 30 vs Nice +3
Sep 6 @ Marseille +1- Sep 12 vs Lyon 0
- Sep 19 vs Strasbourg +1
- Oct 10 @ Lorient −1
- Oct 18 vs Stade Rennais +1
- Oct 24 @ Lens −1
- Nov 1 vs AS Monaco +2
- Lost 2 of its last 10count
- May 17, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain +1
- Aug 22 @ Troyes 0
- Aug 30 vs Nice +3
- Sep 6 @ Marseille +1
- Sep 12 vs Lyon 0
- Sep 19 vs Strasbourg +1
- Oct 10 @ Lorient −1
- Oct 18 vs Stade Rennais +1
- Oct 24 @ Lens −1
- Nov 1 vs AS Monaco +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.24 · 29th | −0.48 · 19th |
| Expected goals | −0.01 · 44th | −0.60 · 4th |
| Shots | +0.1 · 45th | −4.1 · 6th |
| Points | +0.55 · 18th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.