Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

AJ Auxerre @ Strasbourg

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Strasbourg 5, AJ Auxerre 1

AJ Auxerre at Strasbourg: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAJ Auxerre1 gameStrasbourg1 game
Goals−0.73+3.13
Goals conceded+3.33−0.40
Expected goals−1.03+0.63
Expected goals conceded+0.92−0.71
Shots−8.8+4.1
Shots conceded+5.5−6.0
Points−1.56+1.38

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Strasbourg

AJ Auxerre

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Strasbourg

  • Strasbourg had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

  • Strasbourg leads the series 7–4–4 since 2003-04. Strasbourg has won 5 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Strasbourg’s goals were 0.63 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.94 over expected.
  • On the road, AJ Auxerre’s goals conceded were 1.14 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.94 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, AJ Auxerre’s goal difference were 1.45 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.33 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at StrasbourgStrasbourg 5, AJ Auxerre 1
Mar 7, 2026at AJ AuxerreStrasbourg 0, AJ Auxerre 0
Oct 29, 2025at StrasbourgStrasbourg 3, AJ Auxerre 0
Mar 2, 2025at AJ AuxerreStrasbourg 1, AJ Auxerre 0
Jan 5, 2025at StrasbourgStrasbourg 3, AJ Auxerre 1
Mar 19, 2023at StrasbourgStrasbourg 2, AJ Auxerre 0
Aug 27, 2022at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 1, Strasbourg 0
Jan 19, 2008at AJ AuxerreStrasbourg 1, AJ Auxerre 1
Aug 15, 2007at StrasbourgStrasbourg 3, AJ Auxerre 0
May 13, 2006at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 4, Strasbourg 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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