
Strasbourg
3–1–5 · Beat AJ Auxerre 5–1, Nov 1
Next: at Toulouse, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Strasbourg has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.04 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.25 a game over, 34th of 110.
last 4
−0.04
before
+0.49
-202
Oct 11, 2026 @ Nice −0.58
Oct 17, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain −0.67
Oct 25, 2026 @ Stade Rennais −2.27
Nov 1, 2026 vs AJ Auxerre +3.37
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
May 17, 2026 vs AS Monaco +1
Aug 21 @ Marseille −4
Aug 29 vs Lens +1
Sep 6 @ Troyes +4
Sep 12 vs AS Monaco 0
Sep 19 @ Paris FC −1
Oct 11 @ Nice −1
Oct 17 vs Paris Saint-Germain −2
Oct 25 @ Stade Rennais −3
Nov 1 vs AJ Auxerre +4
- Won 4 of its last 10count
May 17, 2026 vs AS Monaco +1
Aug 21 @ Marseille −4
Aug 29 vs Lens +1
Sep 6 @ Troyes +4
Sep 12 vs AS Monaco 0
Sep 19 @ Paris FC −1
Oct 11 @ Nice −1
Oct 17 vs Paris Saint-Germain −2
Oct 25 @ Stade Rennais −3
Nov 1 vs AJ Auxerre +4
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Feb 27, 2026 vs Lens 0
Mar 15, 2026 vs Paris FC 0
Apr 4, 2026 vs Nice +2
Apr 19, 2026 vs Stade Rennais −3
May 3, 2026 vs Toulouse −1
May 17, 2026 vs AS Monaco +1
Aug 29 vs Lens +1
Sep 12 vs AS Monaco 0
Oct 17 vs Paris Saint-Germain −2
Nov 1 vs AJ Auxerre +4
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.32 · 25th | +0.44 · 78th |
| Expected goals | −0.16 · 60th | +0.08 · 62nd |
| Shots | −0.5 · 50th | +1.0 · 59th |
| Points | −0.21 · 54th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.