Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

TSG Hoffenheim @ Werder Bremen

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Werder Bremen 2, TSG Hoffenheim 0

TSG Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTSG Hoffenheim1 gameWerder Bremen1 game
Goals−1.65+0.21
Goals conceded−0.07−1.71
Expected goals−0.34+0.01
Expected goals conceded+0.03−0.45
Shots+1.6+3.9
Shots conceded+2.9−0.2
Points−1.01+1.33

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Werder Bremen

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Werder Bremen’s goals conceded were 1.20 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.78 under expected.
  • At home, Werder Bremen’s goals were 0.89 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.36 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, TSG Hoffenheim’s goal difference were 4.03 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.19 under expected.
  • On the road, TSG Hoffenheim’s goals conceded were 0.79 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.36 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Werder BremenWerder Bremen 2, TSG Hoffenheim 0
May 9, 2026at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 1, Werder Bremen 0
Jan 27, 2026at Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim 2, Werder Bremen 0
Feb 16, 2025at Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim 3, Werder Bremen 1
Sep 29, 2024at TSG HoffenheimWerder Bremen 4, TSG Hoffenheim 3
Mar 3, 2024at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 2, Werder Bremen 1
Oct 7, 2023at Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim 3, Werder Bremen 2
Apr 2, 2023at Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim 2, Werder Bremen 1
Oct 7, 2022at TSG HoffenheimWerder Bremen 2, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Feb 21, 2021at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 4, Werder Bremen 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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