Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Werder Bremen

4–3–1 · Beat TSG Hoffenheim 2–0, Oct 31

Next: at VfB Stuttgart, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis

Against the closing odds

Werder Bremen has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 1.05 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.72 a game over, 14th of 110.

  • Borussia Dortmund Oct 9, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund +1.44
  • SC Paderborn 07 Oct 17, 2026 vs SC Paderborn 07 −0.85
  • Mainz Oct 24, 2026 @ Mainz +1.76
  • TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31, 2026 vs TSG Hoffenheim +1.86

every game, with the odds

Lately

  • Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
    • 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Feb 28, 2026 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +2
    • Mainz Mar 15, 2026 vs Mainz −2
    • RB Leipzig Apr 4, 2026 vs RB Leipzig −1
    • Hamburg SV Apr 18, 2026 vs Hamburg SV +2
    • FC Augsburg May 2, 2026 vs FC Augsburg −2
    • Borussia Dortmund May 16, 2026 vs Borussia Dortmund −2
    • RB Leipzig Sep 5 vs RB Leipzig +2
    • FC Augsburg Sep 19 vs FC Augsburg +1
    • SC Paderborn 07 Oct 17 vs SC Paderborn 07 0
    • TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2
  • Won 4 of its last 10count
    • TSG Hoffenheim May 9, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim −1
    • Borussia Dortmund May 16, 2026 vs Borussia Dortmund −2
    • SC Freiburg Aug 30 @ SC Freiburg −3
    • RB Leipzig Sep 5 vs RB Leipzig +2
    • FC Cologne Sep 12 @ FC Cologne 0
    • FC Augsburg Sep 19 vs FC Augsburg +1
    • Borussia Dortmund Oct 9 @ Borussia Dortmund 0
    • SC Paderborn 07 Oct 17 vs SC Paderborn 07 0
    • Mainz Oct 24 @ Mainz +1
    • TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2
  • Lost 3 of its last 10count
    • TSG Hoffenheim May 9, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim −1
    • Borussia Dortmund May 16, 2026 vs Borussia Dortmund −2
    • SC Freiburg Aug 30 @ SC Freiburg −3
    • RB Leipzig Sep 5 vs RB Leipzig +2
    • FC Cologne Sep 12 @ FC Cologne 0
    • FC Augsburg Sep 19 vs FC Augsburg +1
    • Borussia Dortmund Oct 9 @ Borussia Dortmund 0
    • SC Paderborn 07 Oct 17 vs SC Paderborn 07 0
    • Mainz Oct 24 @ Mainz +1
    • TSG Hoffenheim Oct 31 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a gameattackdefense
Goals+0.56 · 18th+0.04 · 54th
Expected goals−0.11 · 53rd−0.19 · 26th
Shots+0.9 · 34th+0.2 · 48th
Points+0.54 · 19th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.

every stat, every team

Method

  • Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
  • Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.