Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Schalke 04 @ TSG Hoffenheim

Sun, Nov 8 · Bundesliga · PreZero Arena

The odds have it TSG Hoffenheim 2.16, Schalke 04 1.21.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Schalke 04 at TSG Hoffenheim: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameSchalke 048 gamesTSG Hoffenheim8 games
−1.19+0.11
−0.81+0.50
−0.65+0.06
0.00−0.18
−5.2+3.2
0.0−1.4
−0.62−0.30

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • TSG Hoffenheim leads the series 12–9–7 since 2008-09. TSG Hoffenheim has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, TSG Hoffenheim’s goals are 0.58 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Schalke 04’s expected goals conceded are 0.58 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 9, 2023at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 2, Schalke 04 0
Oct 14, 2022at Schalke 04TSG Hoffenheim 3, Schalke 04 0
May 8, 2021at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 4, Schalke 04 2
Jan 9, 2021at Schalke 04Schalke 04 4, TSG Hoffenheim 0
Mar 7, 2020at Schalke 04TSG Hoffenheim 1, Schalke 04 1
Oct 20, 2019at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 2, Schalke 04 0
Apr 20, 2019at Schalke 04TSG Hoffenheim 5, Schalke 04 2
Dec 1, 2018at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 1, Schalke 04 1
Feb 17, 2018at Schalke 04Schalke 04 2, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Sep 23, 2017at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 2, Schalke 04 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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