Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

SC Freiburg @ FC Augsburg

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

SC Freiburg 2, FC Augsburg 1

SC Freiburg at FC Augsburg: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSC Freiburg1 gameFC Augsburg1 game
Goals+0.39−0.56
Goals conceded−1.24+0.11
Expected goals−0.64−0.34
Expected goals conceded−0.80−0.19
Shots−6.8+2.5
Shots conceded−2.3−4.8
Points+1.78−1.32

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

FC Augsburg

SC Freiburg

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, FC Augsburg’s expected goals were 0.52 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.44 under expected.
  • On the road, SC Freiburg’s goals were 0.60 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.15 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at FC AugsburgSC Freiburg 2, FC Augsburg 1
Jan 18, 2026at FC AugsburgFC Augsburg 2, SC Freiburg 2
Aug 23, 2025at SC FreiburgFC Augsburg 3, SC Freiburg 1
Mar 2, 2025at FC AugsburgFC Augsburg 0, SC Freiburg 0
Oct 19, 2024at SC FreiburgSC Freiburg 3, FC Augsburg 1
Feb 25, 2024at FC AugsburgFC Augsburg 2, SC Freiburg 1
Oct 1, 2023at SC FreiburgSC Freiburg 2, FC Augsburg 0
Jan 28, 2023at SC FreiburgSC Freiburg 3, FC Augsburg 1
Aug 6, 2022at FC AugsburgSC Freiburg 4, FC Augsburg 0
Feb 19, 2022at FC AugsburgSC Freiburg 2, FC Augsburg 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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