Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

FC Augsburg @ RB Leipzig

Sat, Nov 7 · Bundesliga · Red Bull Arena

The odds have it RB Leipzig 2.62, FC Augsburg 1.34.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

FC Augsburg at RB Leipzig: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameFC Augsburg8 gamesRB Leipzig11 games
+0.62+0.70
+0.15−0.03
+0.19+0.58
+0.98+0.01
+2.7+2.2
+4.6−0.7
−0.20+0.39

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

RB Leipzig

  • RB Leipzig has won 10 straight at home, tied for the longest active home winning streak in Europe.streakthe runs →

The series

  • RB Leipzig leads the series 12–1–7 since 2016-17. RB Leipzig has won the last 2. RB Leipzig has won 7 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, RB Leipzig’s goal difference are 2.93 over expected in 5 games. A +4.93 difference in goal difference over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →
  • On the road, FC Augsburg’s goals are 1.19 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Mar 7, 2026at RB LeipzigRB Leipzig 2, FC Augsburg 1
Oct 25, 2025at FC AugsburgRB Leipzig 6, FC Augsburg 0
Feb 14, 2025at FC AugsburgRB Leipzig 0, FC Augsburg 0
Sep 28, 2024at RB LeipzigRB Leipzig 4, FC Augsburg 0
Feb 10, 2024at FC AugsburgRB Leipzig 2, FC Augsburg 2
Sep 16, 2023at RB LeipzigRB Leipzig 3, FC Augsburg 0
Apr 15, 2023at RB LeipzigRB Leipzig 3, FC Augsburg 2
Oct 22, 2022at FC AugsburgRB Leipzig 3, FC Augsburg 3
May 8, 2022at RB LeipzigRB Leipzig 4, FC Augsburg 0
Dec 15, 2021at FC AugsburgRB Leipzig 1, FC Augsburg 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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