RB Leipzig @ Schalke 04

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

RB Leipzig 2, Schalke 04 0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

RB Leipzig’s expected goals were 0.56 higher at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 3rd of 126 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 0.27 over expected.
RB Leipzig had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

RB Leipzig leads the series 9–2–2 since 2016-17. RB Leipzig has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

Against a top-half team, Schalke 04’s yellow cards were 1.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 over expected.
At home, Schalke 04’s goals were 1.31 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.18 under expected.
On the road, RB Leipzig’s goal difference were 2.73 under expected in 5 games. A −5.67 difference in goal difference over expected away vs at home is rare: shuffle which games were away and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →This game: 1.67 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.