Brighton & Hove Albion @ 
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion 1, Manchester City 0
| a game | Brighton & Hove Albion1 game | Manchester City1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.42 | −1.43 |
| Goals conceded | −2.37 | −1.25 |
| Expected goals | −0.28 | +0.59 |
| Expected goals conceded | +0.13 | −0.82 |
| Shots | −4.5 | +8.1 |
| Shots conceded | +4.4 | −8.9 |
| Points | +2.13 | −1.26 |
Who put up numbers
Brighton & Hove Albion
Analysis
The series
- Manchester City leads the series 12–4–3 since 2017-18.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Manchester City had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Manchester City had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a top-half team, Manchester City’s points were 1.53 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.54 under expected.
- At home, Manchester City’s expected goals were 0.68 over expected in 6 games. A +0.97 difference in expected goals over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.21 over expected.
- Against a top-half team, Brighton & Hove Albion’s goals were 2.13 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.06 under expected.
- On the road, Brighton & Hove Albion’s expected goal difference were 0.44 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.79 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Manchester City | Brighton & Hove Albion 1, Manchester City 0 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | at Manchester City | Manchester City 1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | at Brighton & Hove Albion | Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Manchester City 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | at Manchester City | Manchester City 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 2 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at Brighton & Hove Albion | Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Manchester City 1 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | at Brighton & Hove Albion | Manchester City 4, Brighton & Hove Albion 0 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | at Manchester City | Manchester City 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 |
| May 24, 2023 | at Brighton & Hove Albion | Manchester City 1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | at Manchester City | Manchester City 3, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 |
| Apr 20, 2022 | at Manchester City | Manchester City 3, Brighton & Hove Albion 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.