Brighton & Hove Albion
6–1–2 · Beat Manchester City 1–0, Oct 31
Next: vs Brentford, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Brighton & Hove Albion has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 1.47 goals a game. Over the season it’s 1.87 a game over, 1st of 110.
last 4
+1.47
before
+2.19
024
Oct 10, 2026 @ Sunderland +1.81
Oct 18, 2026 vs Crystal Palace +3.63
Oct 25, 2026 @ Liverpool −1.45
Oct 31, 2026 @ Manchester City +1.89
Lately
- Won 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 1, 2026 vs Nottingham Forest +1
Mar 4, 2026 vs Arsenal −1- Mar 21, 2026 vs Liverpool +1
Apr 21, 2026 vs Chelsea +3
May 9, 2026 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers +3
May 24, 2026 vs Manchester United −3
Aug 23 vs Aston Villa +4
Sep 5 vs Leeds United 0- Sep 19 vs Arsenal +3
- Oct 18 vs Crystal Palace +5
- Won 6 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 vs Manchester United −3
- Aug 23 vs Aston Villa +4
- Aug 30 @ Chelsea −1
- Sep 5 vs Leeds United 0
Sep 13 @ Coventry City +5- Sep 19 vs Arsenal +3
- Oct 10 @ Sunderland +2
- Oct 18 vs Crystal Palace +5
- Oct 25 @ Liverpool −2
- Oct 31 @ Manchester City +1
- Won 5 of its last 10 on the roadcount
- Mar 14, 2026 @ Sunderland +1
Apr 11, 2026 @ Burnley +2
Apr 18, 2026 @ Tottenham Hotspur 0
May 2, 2026 @ Newcastle United −2- May 17, 2026 @ Leeds United −1
- Aug 30 @ Chelsea −1
- Sep 13 @ Coventry City +5
- Oct 10 @ Sunderland +2
- Oct 25 @ Liverpool −2
- Oct 31 @ Manchester City +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +1.17 · 4th | −0.83 · 3rd |
| Expected goals | +0.36 · 14th | +0.09 · 64th |
| Shots | +2.9 · 13th | −1.7 · 24th |
| Points | +0.83 · 8th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.