Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Internazionale @ Venezia

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Internazionale 2, Venezia 0

Internazionale at Venezia: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameInternazionale1 gameVenezia1 game
Goals+0.35−1.66
Goals conceded−1.15+0.03
Expected goals+0.70−0.34
Expected goals conceded−0.33+0.08
Shots+1.1−1.1
Shots conceded−2.7−3.2
Points+1.12−1.24

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Internazionale leads the series 5–0 since 2021-22. Internazionale has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Venezia had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Venezia’s shots conceded were 15.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.3 under expected.
  • At home, Venezia’s expected goals conceded were 0.67 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.05 under expected.
  • Internazionale had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Internazionale’s expected goals were 0.91 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.05 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at VeneziaInternazionale 2, Venezia 0
Jan 12, 2025at VeneziaInternazionale 1, Venezia 0
Nov 3, 2024at InternazionaleInternazionale 1, Venezia 0
Jan 22, 2022at InternazionaleInternazionale 2, Venezia 1
Nov 27, 2021at VeneziaInternazionale 2, Venezia 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.