Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Le Mans @ AJ Auxerre

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

AJ Auxerre 1, Le Mans 1

Le Mans at AJ Auxerre: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLe Mans1 gameAJ Auxerre1 game
Goals−0.89−0.83
Goals conceded−0.67−0.24
Expected goals−0.38−0.79
Expected goals conceded−0.36−0.04
Shots−3.2−3.1
Shots conceded+0.1+0.9
Points−0.50−0.74

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AJ Auxerre

Le Mans

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, AJ Auxerre’s expected goals were 1.15 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.62 under expected.
  • At home, AJ Auxerre’s expected goals conceded were 0.51 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.27 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Le Mans’ goal difference were 3.37 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.06 under expected.
  • On the road, Le Mans’ yellow cards were 0.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 1, Le Mans 1
Mar 20, 2010at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 2, Le Mans 1
Nov 7, 2009at Le MansAJ Auxerre 1, Le Mans 0
Mar 21, 2009at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 2, Le Mans 0
Oct 29, 2008at Le MansAJ Auxerre 2, Le Mans 0
Apr 12, 2008at Le MansLe Mans 3, AJ Auxerre 0
Nov 25, 2007at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 3, Le Mans 0
Apr 1, 2007at Le MansAJ Auxerre 2, Le Mans 2
Nov 4, 2006at AJ AuxerreLe Mans 3, AJ Auxerre 2
Apr 9, 2006at AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre 0, Le Mans 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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