Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Le Havre AC @ Marseille

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Marseille 4, Le Havre AC 3

Le Havre AC at Marseille: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLe Havre AC1 gameMarseille1 game
Goals+1.59+2.21
Goals conceded+2.02+2.07
Expected goals+0.31−0.27
Expected goals conceded−0.16+0.42
Shots+6.7−3.2
Shots conceded−3.2+6.7
Points−1.32+0.96

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Marseille

Le Havre AC

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Marseille leads the series 9–0 since 2008-09. Marseille has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Marseille’s expected goals conceded were 0.67 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.29 over expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Le Havre AC’s expected goal difference were 1.78 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.46 over expected.
  • On the road, Le Havre AC’s expected goal difference were 0.53 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.46 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at MarseilleMarseille 4, Le Havre AC 3
May 10, 2026at Le Havre ACMarseille 1, Le Havre AC 0
Oct 18, 2025at MarseilleMarseille 6, Le Havre AC 2
May 10, 2025at Le Havre ACMarseille 3, Le Havre AC 1
Jan 5, 2025at MarseilleMarseille 5, Le Havre AC 1
May 19, 2024at Le Havre ACMarseille 2, Le Havre AC 1
Oct 8, 2023at MarseilleMarseille 3, Le Havre AC 0
Jan 17, 2009at MarseilleMarseille 2, Le Havre AC 0
Aug 23, 2008at Le Havre ACMarseille 1, Le Havre AC 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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