
Marseille
5–0–4 · Beat Toulouse 2–0, Nov 1
Next: at Lens, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Marseille has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 1.24 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.53 a game over, 16th of 110.
last 4
+1.24
before
−0.04
02
Oct 11, 2026 @ Troyes +1.54
Oct 18, 2026 @ Angers +2.31
Oct 25, 2026 vs Le Havre AC −0.33
Nov 1, 2026 vs Toulouse +1.43
Lately
- Won 4 straightstreak
Oct 11 @ Troyes +2
Oct 18 @ Angers +3
Oct 25 vs Le Havre AC +1
Nov 1 vs Toulouse +2
the games, with the score
Marseille has won 4 straight. Every game of it. Date Game Result Score Oct 11, 2026
Marseille @
TroyesW 2–0 Oct 18, 2026
Marseille @
AngersW 5–2 Oct 25, 2026
Marseille vs
Le Havre ACW 4–3 Nov 1, 2026
Marseille vs
ToulouseW 2–0 - Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 13, 2026 vs AJ Auxerre +1
Mar 22, 2026 vs Lille −1
Apr 10, 2026 vs Metz +2
Apr 26, 2026 vs Nice 0
May 17, 2026 vs Stade Rennais +2
Aug 21 vs Strasbourg +4
Sep 6 vs Paris FC −1
Sep 20 vs Paris Saint-Germain −1
Oct 25 vs Le Havre AC +1
Nov 1 vs Toulouse +2
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Feb 20, 2026 @ Brest −2
Mar 7, 2026 @ Toulouse +1
Apr 5, 2026 @ AS Monaco −1
Apr 18, 2026 @ Lorient −2
May 2, 2026 @ Nantes −3
May 10, 2026 @ Le Havre AC +1
Aug 30 @ AS Monaco −2
Sep 11 @ Stade Rennais −1
Oct 11 @ Troyes +2
Oct 18 @ Angers +3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.62 · 15th | −0.14 · 42nd |
| Expected goals | −0.15 · 58th | +0.25 · 76th |
| Shots | −0.9 · 57th | +2.0 · 77th |
| Points | +0.25 · 29th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.