Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Marseille @ Lens

Sun, Nov 8 · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

The odds have it Lens 1.89, Marseille 1.49.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Marseille at Lens: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameMarseille9 gamesLens12 games
+0.62−0.02
−0.14+0.07
−0.15−0.01
+0.25+0.08
−0.9+1.2
+2.0−1.5
+0.25−0.06

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Marseille

The series

If you squint

  • Lens has won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • At home, Lens’ expected goals conceded are 0.35 under expected in 5 games. A −0.65 difference in expected goals conceded over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 12 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Marseille’s expected goals conceded are 0.46 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Jan 24, 2026at MarseilleMarseille 3, Lens 1
Oct 25, 2025at LensLens 2, Marseille 1
Mar 8, 2025at MarseilleLens 1, Marseille 0
Nov 23, 2024at LensMarseille 3, Lens 1
Apr 28, 2024at MarseilleMarseille 2, Lens 1
Nov 12, 2023at LensLens 1, Marseille 0
May 6, 2023at LensLens 2, Marseille 1
Oct 22, 2022at MarseilleLens 1, Marseille 0
Jan 22, 2022at LensMarseille 2, Lens 0
Sep 26, 2021at MarseilleLens 3, Marseille 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next