Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Brighton & Hove Albion @ Liverpool

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Liverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 0

Brighton & Hove Albion at Liverpool: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBrighton & Hove Albion1 gameLiverpool1 game
Goals−1.48+0.65
Goals conceded+0.08−2.33
Expected goals+0.51−0.50
Expected goals conceded−0.68+0.16
Shots+5.0−0.5
Shots conceded−4.1+2.0
Points−1.00+1.92

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Liverpool

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Liverpool

  • Liverpool had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • Brighton & Hove Albion had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

  • Liverpool leads the series 11–4–4 since 2017-18. Liverpool has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Liverpool’s goal difference were 1.11 under expected in 5 games. A −2.44 difference in goal difference over expected at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 2 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 3.10 over expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Liverpool’s goals conceded were 0.94 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.13 under expected.
  • On the road, Brighton & Hove Albion’s expected goal difference were 0.95 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.10 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at LiverpoolLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 0
Mar 21, 2026at Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion 2, Liverpool 1
Dec 13, 2025at LiverpoolLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 0
May 19, 2025at Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion 3, Liverpool 2
Nov 2, 2024at LiverpoolLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1
Mar 31, 2024at LiverpoolLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1
Oct 8, 2023at Brighton & Hove AlbionLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 2
Jan 14, 2023at Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion 3, Liverpool 0
Oct 1, 2022at LiverpoolLiverpool 3, Brighton & Hove Albion 3
Mar 12, 2022at Brighton & Hove AlbionLiverpool 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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