Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

PSV Eindhoven @ FC Porto

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 1, FC Porto 0

PSV Eindhoven at FC Porto: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePSV Eindhoven1 gameFC Porto1 game
Goals−0.81−1.47
Goals conceded−1.36+0.22
Expected goals+0.55−0.26
Expected goals conceded+0.34+1.25
Shots+1.9−0.4
Shots conceded+3.5+7.3
Points+0.96−1.80

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

PSV Eindhoven

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

PSV Eindhoven

  • PSV Eindhoven’s expected goals were 1.11 higher at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 1st of 123 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.65 over expected.

If you squint

  • At home, FC Porto’s goals were 1.45 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.42 under expected.
  • On the road, PSV Eindhoven’s goals were 1.41 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.07 under expected.

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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