Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Barcelona @ Paris Saint-Germain

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

Paris Saint-Germain 4, Barcelona 2

Barcelona at Paris Saint-Germain: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBarcelona1 gameParis Saint-Germain1 game
Goals+0.61+2.50
Goals conceded+1.51−1.09
Expected goals+0.90+2.02
Expected goals conceded+1.13+0.04
Shots+5.7+11.7
Shots conceded+2.40.0
Points−0.82+2.04

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Paris Saint-Germain

Barcelona

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Paris Saint-Germain

  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

Barcelona

  • Barcelona had won 11 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Barcelona had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Barcelona had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Paris Saint-Germain leads the series 6–5–3 since 2012-13. Paris Saint-Germain has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In the Champions League, Paris Saint-Germain’s goals were 2.85 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.11 over expected.
  • At home, Paris Saint-Germain’s expected goals were 0.80 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.48 over expected.
  • Barcelona had won 7 of its last 10 by 3 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In the Champions League, Barcelona’s yellow cards were 1.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 20, 2026at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 4, Barcelona 2
Oct 1, 2025at BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain 2, Barcelona 1
Apr 16, 2024at BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain 4, Barcelona 1
Apr 10, 2024at Paris Saint-GermainBarcelona 3, Paris Saint-Germain 2
Mar 10, 2021at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 1, Barcelona 1
Feb 16, 2021at BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain 4, Barcelona 1
Mar 8, 2017at BarcelonaBarcelona 6, Paris Saint-Germain 1
Feb 14, 2017at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 4, Barcelona 0
Apr 21, 2015at BarcelonaBarcelona 2, Paris Saint-Germain 0
Apr 15, 2015at Paris Saint-GermainBarcelona 3, Paris Saint-Germain 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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