Atlético Madrid @ 
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart 1, Atlético Madrid 1
| a game | Atlético Madrid1 game | VfB Stuttgart1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.52 | −0.40 |
| Goals conceded | −0.98 | −0.66 |
| Expected goals | −0.82 | +0.26 |
| Expected goals conceded | −0.52 | −0.44 |
| Shots | −5.4 | +5.1 |
| Shots conceded | +1.3 | −4.8 |
| Points | −0.32 | −0.10 |
Who put up numbers
VfB Stuttgart
Atlético Madrid
Analysis
Atlético Madrid
- Atlético Madrid had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
The series
- The series is tied 0–0–1 since 2026-27.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- VfB Stuttgart had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In the Champions League, VfB Stuttgart’s goal difference were 2.26 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.96 over expected.
- At home, VfB Stuttgart’s goal difference were 1.23 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.96 over expected.
- In the Champions League, Atlético Madrid’s yellow cards were 0.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | at VfB Stuttgart | VfB Stuttgart 1, Atlético Madrid 1 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.