
VfB Stuttgart
5–1–5 · Beat Bayer Leverkusen 4–2, Oct 31
Next: vs Werder Bremen, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
VfB Stuttgart has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.57 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.10 a game over, 44th of 110.
last 4
+0.57
before
−0.21
-202
Oct 14, 2026 @ Slovan Bratislava +1.54
Oct 20, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid +0.39
Oct 23, 2026 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −2.51
Oct 31, 2026 @ Bayer Leverkusen +2.85
Lately
- Won 5 of its last 10count
Sep 4 vs FC Cologne +3
Sep 9 vs Viking FK +2
Sep 12 @ TSG Hoffenheim −1
Sep 19 vs Borussia Dortmund −1
Oct 10 @ SC Paderborn 07 +2
Oct 14 @ Slovan Bratislava +3
Oct 17 @ Hamburg SV −1
Oct 20 vs Atlético Madrid 0
Oct 23 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −1
Oct 31 @ Bayer Leverkusen +2
- Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 15, 2026 vs RB Leipzig +1
Apr 4, 2026 vs Borussia Dortmund −2
Apr 12, 2026 vs Hamburg SV +4
Apr 26, 2026 vs Werder Bremen 0
May 9, 2026 vs Bayer Leverkusen +2
Sep 4 vs FC Cologne +3
Sep 9 vs Viking FK +2
Sep 19 vs Borussia Dortmund −1
Oct 20 vs Atlético Madrid 0
Oct 23 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −1
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
Sep 4 vs FC Cologne +3
Sep 9 vs Viking FK +2
Sep 12 @ TSG Hoffenheim −1
Sep 19 vs Borussia Dortmund −1
Oct 10 @ SC Paderborn 07 +2
Oct 14 @ Slovan Bratislava +3
Oct 17 @ Hamburg SV −1
Oct 20 vs Atlético Madrid 0
Oct 23 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −1
Oct 31 @ Bayer Leverkusen +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.18 · 31st | −0.05 · 48th |
| Expected goals | +0.51 · 10th | +0.52 · 91st |
| Shots | +1.6 · 26th | +2.4 · 84th |
| Points | −0.01 · 42nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.