Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Stade Rennais @ Paris FC

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Paris FC 4, Stade Rennais 3

Stade Rennais at Paris FC: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameStade Rennais1 gameParis FC1 game
Goals+1.71+2.25
Goals conceded+2.33+1.21
Expected goals−0.16+1.00
Expected goals conceded+1.14−0.65
Shots+1.5+3.8
Shots conceded+4.8−3.3
Points−1.08+1.74

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Paris FC

Stade Rennais

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Paris FC had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Paris FC’s expected goals were 0.50 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.03 over expected.
  • On the road, Stade Rennais’ expected goals conceded were 0.89 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.03 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at Paris FCParis FC 4, Stade Rennais 3
May 10, 2026at Stade RennaisStade Rennais 2, Paris FC 1
Nov 7, 2025at Paris FCStade Rennais 1, Paris FC 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.