Sevilla @ Real Madrid

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Real Madrid 4, Sevilla 1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Real Madrid leads the series 33–13–3 since 2002-03. Real Madrid has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

Real Madrid had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Against a top-half team, Real Madrid’s expected goals were 1.16 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.90 under expected.
After a Champions League game, Real Madrid’s yellow cards were 1.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.
On the road, Sevilla’s yellow cards were 2.2 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.
Against a top-half team, Sevilla’s expected goals were 0.53 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.32 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.