Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Nice @ Lyon

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Lyon 2, Nice 1

Nice at Lyon: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNice1 gameLyon1 game
Goals−0.25+0.45
Goals conceded+0.25−0.40
Expected goals+0.01−0.14
Expected goals conceded−0.33+0.05
Shots−0.2−6.3
Shots conceded−6.5+0.2
Points−1.08+1.68

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lyon

Nice

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Lyon leads the series 24–12–11 since 2003-04. Lyon has won the last 2. Lyon has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Lyon’s expected goals were 0.65 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.32 under expected.
  • On the road, Nice’s goal difference were 2.26 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.26 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at LyonLyon 2, Nice 1
Feb 15, 2026at LyonLyon 2, Nice 0
Oct 18, 2025at NiceNice 3, Lyon 2
Mar 9, 2025at NiceLyon 2, Nice 0
Dec 1, 2024at LyonLyon 4, Nice 1
Feb 16, 2024at LyonLyon 1, Nice 0
Aug 27, 2023at NiceLyon 0, Nice 0
Jun 3, 2023at NiceNice 3, Lyon 1
Nov 11, 2022at LyonLyon 1, Nice 1
Feb 12, 2022at LyonLyon 2, Nice 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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