Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Manchester United @ Leeds United

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Leeds United 1, Manchester United 1

Manchester United at Leeds United: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameManchester United1 gameLeeds United1 game
Goals−0.29−0.73
Goals conceded−0.36−0.26
Expected goals−0.31+0.27
Expected goals conceded+0.27−0.52
Shots−0.4−1.2
Shots conceded−1.1−3.0
Points−0.20−0.76

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Leeds United

Manchester United

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Leeds United’s yellow cards were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Manchester United’s shots conceded were 8.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at Leeds UnitedLeeds United 1, Manchester United 1
Apr 13, 2026at Manchester UnitedLeeds United 2, Manchester United 1
Jan 4, 2026at Leeds UnitedLeeds United 1, Manchester United 1
Feb 12, 2023at Leeds UnitedManchester United 2, Leeds United 0
Feb 8, 2023at Manchester UnitedLeeds United 2, Manchester United 2
Feb 20, 2022at Leeds UnitedManchester United 4, Leeds United 2
Aug 14, 2021at Manchester UnitedManchester United 5, Leeds United 1
Apr 25, 2021at Leeds UnitedLeeds United 0, Manchester United 0
Dec 20, 2020at Manchester UnitedManchester United 6, Leeds United 2
Feb 21, 2004at Manchester UnitedLeeds United 1, Manchester United 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.