Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Alavés @ Celta Vigo

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Celta Vigo 2, Alavés 1

Alavés at Celta Vigo: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAlavés1 gameCelta Vigo1 game
Goals−0.30+0.37
Goals conceded+0.77−0.34
Expected goals+0.02−0.54
Expected goals conceded−0.18+0.10
Shots+7.3−7.9
Shots conceded−6.1+8.2
Points−1.32+1.44

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Celta Vigo

Alavés

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Celta Vigo’s goals were 3.49 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.76 over expected.
  • At home, Celta Vigo’s yellow cards were 1.0 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Alavés’ goal difference were 1.72 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.93 under expected.
  • On the road, Alavés’ goals were 0.93 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.19 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 2, Alavés 1
Mar 22, 2026at Celta VigoAlavés 4, Celta Vigo 3
Nov 22, 2025at AlavésCelta Vigo 1, Alavés 0
Jan 27, 2025at AlavésCelta Vigo 1, Alavés 1
Aug 16, 2024at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 2, Alavés 1
Apr 27, 2024at AlavésAlavés 3, Celta Vigo 0
Sep 28, 2023at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 1, Alavés 1
May 7, 2022at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 4, Alavés 0
Nov 27, 2021at AlavésCelta Vigo 2, Alavés 1
Apr 4, 2021at AlavésCelta Vigo 3, Alavés 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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