Putting Up Numbers· college football

Mississippi State without Isaac Smith

without ,

Mississippi State is 0–2 without Isaac Smith this season and 4–2 with him. Since 2024, Mississippi State is 0–6 in the 6 games he missed and 11–16 with him.

Missed games, per si.com.

Isaac Smith’s page

, a game

This season

MeasureWith Isaac Smith6 gamesWithout2 gamesDifference
Record4–20–2
Points allowed, over expected+0.6+0.5+0.1
Against the line+2.9−7.3+10.2
Points, over expected+5.9−16.7+22.5
Margin, over expected+5.5−17.0+22.5

2 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Last 25 games

MeasureWith Isaac Smith20 gamesWithout5 gamesDifference
Record10–100–5
Points allowed, over expected−1.3+5.6−7.0
Against the line+2.5−10.1+12.6
Points, over expected+2.0−8.2+10.2
Margin, over expected+3.8−13.2+17.0

The games he missed this season

DateGameResult
Oct 31, 2026@TexasL 3–31
Oct 24, 2026vsOklahomaL 15–23

Method

  • With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
  • Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
  • Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
  • Why he’s out: si.com.

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