Purdue @ 
Penn State
Penn State 31, Purdue 17Penn State was favored by 10, and Penn State covered.
| a game | Purdue1 game | Penn State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −3.3 | −3.1 |
| Points allowed | +2.7 | −8.6 |
| Total offense, yards | −150 | +31 |
| Total defense, yards | +72 | −197 |
| Touchdowns | −1.3 | 0.0 |
| Passer rating | −48.1 | −0.7 |
| Third downs | −16.4% | −5.8% |
| Sacks | +0.3 | −1.3 |
| Penalty yards | −32.2 | +9.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Penn State
- Passing yardsRocco Becht175 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsRocco Becht1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsCam Wallace135 rushing yards
Purdue
Analysis
Penn State
- Penn State had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Penn State was 3.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 108th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.
Purdue
- Purdue was 1.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 55th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Penn State leads the series 18–3–1 since 1951. Penn State has won the last 12.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Penn State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Penn State was 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, Penn State’s pass attempts were 7.1 over expected in 4 games. A +13.8 difference in pass attempts over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 5.8 under expected.
- Purdue had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Purdue was 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Purdue’s passing yards were 111.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 84.2 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Penn State | Penn State 31, Purdue 17 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | at Purdue | Penn State 49, Purdue 10 |
| Sep 1, 2022 | at Purdue | Penn State 35, Purdue 31 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | at Penn State | Penn State 35, Purdue 7 |
| Oct 29, 2016 | at Purdue | Penn State 62, Purdue 24 |
| Nov 16, 2013 | at Penn State | Penn State 45, Purdue 21 |
| Nov 3, 2012 | at Purdue | Penn State 34, Purdue 9 |
| Oct 15, 2011 | at Penn State | Penn State 23, Purdue 18 |
| Oct 4, 2008 | at Purdue | Penn State 20, Purdue 6 |
| Nov 3, 2007 | at Penn State | Penn State 26, Purdue 19 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.