Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma State @ Iowa State

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · No. 24 at unranked

Iowa State 51, Oklahoma State 49Oklahoma State was favored by 10, and Iowa State covered.

Oklahoma State at Iowa State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOklahoma State1 gameIowa State1 game
Points+25.0+22.7
Points allowed+24.5+17.8
Total offense, yards+159+177
Total defense, yards+225+83
Touchdowns+4.0+2.4
Passer rating+25.3+41.7
Third downs+30.1%+13.3%
Sacks−0.8−1.7
Penalty yards−31.5+5.2
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Iowa State

Oklahoma State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Iowa State

  • Iowa State had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Iowa State was 0.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 71st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.

Oklahoma State

  • Oklahoma State had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Oklahoma State had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Oklahoma State had covered 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Oklahoma State had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Oklahoma State was 7.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Oklahoma State leads the series 34–23–3 since 1926. Iowa State has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Iowa State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Iowa State was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At night, Iowa State’s total yards were 110.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 218.4 over expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Iowa State’s total yards were 106.4 under expected in 4 games. A −215.5 difference in total yards over expected vs a ranked opponent and vs an unranked opponent is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs a ranked opponent and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 218.4 over expected.
  • At home, Iowa State’s carries were 6.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 over expected.
  • Oklahoma State was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At night, Oklahoma State’s passing yards were 92.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 41.7 over expected.
  • On the road, Oklahoma State’s third-down conversion rate were 13.1% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 33.9% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Iowa StateIowa State 51, Oklahoma State 49
Nov 29, 2025at Oklahoma StateIowa State 20, Oklahoma State 13
Sep 23, 2023at Iowa StateIowa State 34, Oklahoma State 27
Nov 12, 2022at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 20, Iowa State 14
Oct 23, 2021at Iowa StateIowa State 24, Oklahoma State 21
Oct 24, 2020at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 24, Iowa State 21
Oct 26, 2019at Iowa StateOklahoma State 34, Iowa State 27
Oct 6, 2018at Oklahoma StateIowa State 48, Oklahoma State 42
Nov 11, 2017at Iowa StateOklahoma State 49, Iowa State 42
Oct 8, 2016at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 38, Iowa State 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.