Putting Up Numbers· college football

New Mexico @ San Jose State

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

New Mexico 21, San Jose State 16New Mexico was favored by 15.5, and San Jose State covered.

New Mexico at San Jose State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNew Mexico1 gameSan Jose State1 game
Points−1.8−3.8
Points allowed−7.0−8.3
Total offense, yards−28−97
Total defense, yards−133−1
Touchdowns+0.6−2.2
Passer rating−21.9−3.9
Third downs−7.0%+0.7%
Sacks+0.8−0.4
Penalty yards−5.0−18.1
Turnovers forced+0.8+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8+0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

San Jose State

New Mexico

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

San Jose State

  • San Jose State was 0.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 73rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

New Mexico

  • New Mexico had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • New Mexico had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • New Mexico had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • New Mexico had won 11 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • New Mexico was 13.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 3rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • San Jose State was 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, San Jose State’s penalty yards were 25.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 16.4 under expected.
  • New Mexico had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • New Mexico was 5–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, New Mexico’s penalty yards were 36.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.9 under expected.
  • On the road, New Mexico’s penalty yards were 30.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at San Jose StateNew Mexico 21, San Jose State 16
Oct 3, 2025at San Jose StateSan Jose State 35, New Mexico 28
Oct 14, 2023at New MexicoSan Jose State 52, New Mexico 24
Oct 31, 2020at New MexicoSan Jose State 38, New Mexico 21
Oct 4, 2019at San Jose StateSan Jose State 32, New Mexico 21
Oct 1, 2016at New MexicoNew Mexico 48, San Jose State 41
Oct 24, 2015at San Jose StateSan Jose State 31, New Mexico 21
Dec 23, 2006neutralSan Jose State 20, New Mexico 12
Sep 26, 1998at San Jose StateSan Jose State 37, New Mexico 20
Oct 9, 1976at New MexicoNew Mexico 36, San Jose State 30

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.