Missouri @
Arkansas
Missouri 34, Arkansas 10Missouri was favored by 10.5, and Missouri covered.
| a game | Missouri1 game | Arkansas1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +8.3 | −15.5 |
| Points allowed | −13.4 | +8.5 |
| Total offense, yards | +18 | −54 |
| Total defense, yards | −37 | +6 |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 | −1.9 |
| Passer rating | −4.3 | −26.2 |
| Third downs | +4.7% | +7.1% |
| Sacks | −1.0 | −1.6 |
| Penalty yards | +25.1 | +26.1 |
| Turnovers forced | +1.8 | −0.3 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | +1.7 |
Who put up numbers
Arkansas
- Passing yardsKJ Jackson229 passing yards
- Rushing yardsCam Settles38 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsKJ Jackson1 rushing touchdown
Missouri
Analysis
Arkansas
- Arkansas was 2.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 99th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−13.5 against the line this game.
Missouri
- Missouri had beaten 28 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 29.
- Missouri had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Missouri was 0.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 64th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+13.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Missouri leads the series 13–4 since 1906. Missouri has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Arkansas had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Arkansas was 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- Against a ranked opponent, Arkansas’ pass attempts were 5.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3 under expected.
- At home, Arkansas’ rushing yards were 46.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 over expected.
- At night, Arkansas’ points were 5.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.4 under expected.
- Missouri was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- On the road, Missouri’s passing yards were 96.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 81.6 under expected.
- At night, Missouri’s penalty yards were 32.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.6 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Missouri’s passing yards were 59.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 81.6 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Arkansas | Missouri 34, Arkansas 10 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | at Arkansas | Missouri 31, Arkansas 17 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | at Missouri | Missouri 28, Arkansas 21 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | at Arkansas | Missouri 48, Arkansas 14 |
| Nov 25, 2022 | at Missouri | Missouri 29, Arkansas 27 |
| Nov 26, 2021 | at Arkansas | Arkansas 34, Missouri 17 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | at Missouri | Missouri 50, Arkansas 48 |
| Nov 29, 2019 | at Arkansas | Missouri 24, Arkansas 14 |
| Nov 23, 2018 | at Missouri | Missouri 38, Arkansas 0 |
| Nov 24, 2017 | at Arkansas | Missouri 48, Arkansas 45 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.