Putting Up Numbers· college football

Marshall @ Old Dominion

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Marshall 36, Old Dominion 23Marshall was favored by 3, and Marshall covered.

Marshall at Old Dominion: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMarshall1 gameOld Dominion1 game
Points+10.3−10.1
Points allowed+3.1+16.5
Total offense, yards−19−11
Total defense, yards+109−23
Touchdowns−0.8−1.6
Passer rating−35.2−38.1
Third downs−22.4%−0.5%
Sacks+0.4+2.1
Penalty yards+34.0+38.3
Turnovers forced+2.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+2.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Old Dominion

Marshall

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion was 10.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.

Marshall

  • Marshall’s pass attempts were 8.4 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 14.9 under expected.
  • Marshall was 9.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 134th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Marshall leads the series 11–1 since 2014. Marshall has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Old Dominion had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Old Dominion had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Old Dominion was 1–5 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Old Dominion’s penalty yards were 39.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 40.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Old Dominion’s total yards were 89.0 under expected in 5 games. A −123.6 difference in total yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 10 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 79.5 over expected.
  • Marshall had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Marshall was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • After a bye, Marshall’s points allowed were 24.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Marshall’s third-down conversion rate were 10.8% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.4% under expected.
  • On the road, Marshall’s points allowed were 8.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Old DominionMarshall 36, Old Dominion 23
Oct 11, 2025at MarshallMarshall 48, Old Dominion 24
Nov 23, 2024at Old DominionMarshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Sep 30, 2023at MarshallMarshall 41, Old Dominion 35
Nov 5, 2022at Old DominionMarshall 12, Old Dominion 0
Oct 9, 2021at MarshallMarshall 20, Old Dominion 13
Oct 12, 2019at MarshallMarshall 31, Old Dominion 17
Oct 13, 2018at Old DominionMarshall 42, Old Dominion 20
Oct 14, 2017at MarshallMarshall 35, Old Dominion 3
Nov 5, 2016at Old DominionOld Dominion 38, Marshall 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.