Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kansas State @ Colorado

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Colorado 27, Kansas State 24Colorado was favored by 3, and the game pushed.

Kansas State at Colorado: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameKansas State1 gameColorado1 game
Points−4.1+0.5
Points allowed+4.1−2.6
Total offense, yards−28+41
Total defense, yards+15−45
Touchdowns+0.2+0.8
Passer rating+24.7+21.1
Third downs+6.0%+11.3%
Sacks+0.1+3.4
Penalty yards−22.1−2.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Colorado

Kansas State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colorado

  • Colorado had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Colorado was 6.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 124th of 136.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

Kansas State

  • Kansas State was 1.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 93rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Colorado had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Colorado’s penalty yards were 26.1 over expected in 4 games. A +22.5 difference in penalty yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 under expected.
  • At home, Colorado’s penalty yards were 29.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 under expected.
  • Kansas State had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Kansas State’s pass attempts were 11.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at ColoradoColorado 27, Kansas State 24
Nov 29, 2025at Kansas StateKansas State 24, Colorado 14
Oct 12, 2024at ColoradoKansas State 31, Colorado 28
Nov 20, 2010at ColoradoColorado 44, Kansas State 36
Oct 24, 2009at Kansas StateKansas State 20, Colorado 6
Oct 18, 2008at ColoradoColorado 14, Kansas State 13
Oct 13, 2007at Kansas StateKansas State 47, Colorado 20
Nov 4, 2006at ColoradoKansas State 34, Colorado 21
Oct 29, 2005at Kansas StateColorado 23, Kansas State 20
Nov 13, 2004at ColoradoColorado 38, Kansas State 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.