Putting Up Numbers· college football

Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Pittsburgh 34, Georgia Tech 11Pittsburgh was favored by 8.5, and Pittsburgh covered.

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameGeorgia Tech1 gamePittsburgh1 game
Points−10.7+1.2
Points allowed+3.9−11.7
Total offense, yards−112+40
Total defense, yards+36−111
Touchdowns−1.9+0.1
Passer rating−57.9−50.8
Third downs−22.0%−6.8%
Sacks−1.6+2.7
Penalty yards−26.1+34.0
Turnovers forced+1.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3+2.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Pittsburgh

Georgia Tech

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Pittsburgh

  • Pittsburgh was 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 59th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.

Georgia Tech

  • Georgia Tech was 7.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 127th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Pittsburgh leads the series 13–6 since 1918. Pittsburgh has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Pittsburgh had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Pittsburgh was 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At night, Pittsburgh’s passing yards were 90.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 44.5 under expected.
  • At home, Pittsburgh’s points allowed were 9.5 under expected in 4 games. A −22.1 difference in points allowed over expected at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 3 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 11.0 under expected.
  • Georgia Tech had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Georgia Tech had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 24.2 over expected in 4 games. A +36.6 difference in penalty yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 14 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 27.7 under expected.
  • At night, Georgia Tech’s pass attempts were 6.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 over expected.
  • On the road, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 26.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at PittsburghPittsburgh 34, Georgia Tech 11
Nov 22, 2025at Georgia TechPittsburgh 42, Georgia Tech 28
Oct 1, 2022at PittsburghGeorgia Tech 26, Pittsburgh 21
Oct 2, 2021at Georgia TechPittsburgh 52, Georgia Tech 21
Dec 10, 2020at Georgia TechPittsburgh 34, Georgia Tech 20
Nov 2, 2019at Georgia TechPittsburgh 20, Georgia Tech 10
Sep 15, 2018at PittsburghPittsburgh 24, Georgia Tech 19
Sep 23, 2017at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 35, Pittsburgh 17
Oct 8, 2016at PittsburghPittsburgh 37, Georgia Tech 34
Oct 17, 2015at Georgia TechPittsburgh 31, Georgia Tech 28

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.