Putting Up Numbers· college football

Colorado State @ Utah State

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Utah State 31, Colorado State 14Utah State was favored by 8.5, and Utah State covered.

Colorado State at Utah State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameColorado State1 gameUtah State1 game
Points−9.2−11.1
Points allowed+11.5−16.3
Total offense, yards−89−26
Total defense, yards+134−142
Touchdowns−0.2−1.1
Passer rating−4.6+19.5
Third downs−4.0%+19.4%
Sacks−1.4+0.8
Penalty yards−21.8+0.6
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Utah State

Colorado State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Utah State

  • Utah State was 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 58th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.

Colorado State

  • Colorado State was 0.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Colorado State leads the series 40–39–2 since 1902. Utah State has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Utah State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Utah State had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Utah State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Utah State’s penalty yards were 41.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate were 11.7% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.9% over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate were 11.7% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.9% over expected.
  • Colorado State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Colorado State was 1–3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, Colorado State’s points allowed were 20.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.5 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Colorado State’s points allowed were 18.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.5 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Utah StateUtah State 31, Colorado State 14
Nov 29, 2024at Colorado StateColorado State 42, Utah State 37
Oct 7, 2023at Utah StateUtah State 44, Colorado State 24
Oct 15, 2022at Colorado StateUtah State 17, Colorado State 13
Oct 22, 2021at Utah StateUtah State 26, Colorado State 24
Sep 28, 2019at Utah StateUtah State 34, Colorado State 24
Nov 17, 2018at Colorado StateUtah State 29, Colorado State 24
Oct 7, 2017at Utah StateColorado State 27, Utah State 14
Oct 8, 2016at Colorado StateColorado State 31, Utah State 24
Oct 3, 2015at Utah StateUtah State 33, Colorado State 18

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.