Putting Up Numbers· college football

Bowling Green @ Western Michigan

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Western Michigan 23, Bowling Green 10Western Michigan was favored by 14, and Bowling Green covered.

Bowling Green at Western Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBowling Green1 gameWestern Michigan1 game
Points−11.4−9.4
Points allowed−3.9−7.7
Total offense, yards−79−66
Total defense, yards−11−19
Touchdowns−1.7−1.8
Passer rating−42.7−6.1
Third downs+6.9%−12.7%
Sacks+1.4+1.9
Penalty yards−18.1−35.3
Turnovers forced+0.8+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Western Michigan

Bowling Green

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Western Michigan

  • Western Michigan was 2.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.0 against the line this game.

Bowling Green

  • Bowling Green was 2.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Western Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Western Michigan had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Western Michigan had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Western Michigan was 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Western Michigan’s carries were 4.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 under expected.
  • Bowling Green had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Bowling Green was 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Bowling Green’s third-down conversion rate were 8.5% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 23, Bowling Green 10
Nov 12, 2024at Bowling GreenBowling Green 31, Western Michigan 13
Nov 21, 2023at Western MichiganBowling Green 34, Western Michigan 10
Nov 2, 2022at Bowling GreenBowling Green 13, Western Michigan 9
Oct 26, 2019at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 49, Bowling Green 10
Oct 13, 2018at Bowling GreenWestern Michigan 42, Bowling Green 35
Nov 11, 2015at Western MichiganBowling Green 41, Western Michigan 27
Oct 18, 2014at Bowling GreenWestern Michigan 26, Bowling Green 14
Oct 8, 2011at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 45, Bowling Green 21
Nov 26, 2010at Bowling GreenWestern Michigan 41, Bowling Green 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.