Western Michigan @ Akron

Wed, Nov 11 · InfoCision Stadium

No line yet.

Western Michigan at Akron: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Western Michigan9 games	Akron8 games
	−3.8	−10.9
	−3.8	+12.8
	−57	−51
	−2	+103
	−0.5	−1.3
	−6.0	−20.5
	+0.7%	−0.1%
	+1.0	−1.7
	−14.6	+13.9
	0.0	−0.4
	−0.2	+1.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Akron

Akron has lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →
Akron is 6.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 125th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Western Michigan

Western Michigan is 1.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 52nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Western Michigan leads the series 16–4 since 1975. Western Michigan has won the last 3. Western Michigan has won 5 straight at Akron.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Without Brayden Roggow, Akron’s points of margin are 26.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Sean Patrick, Akron’s passing yards are 47.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, Akron’s pass attempts are 6.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Western Michigan has beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
Western Michigan has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Without Aveion Chenault, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 20.2% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Lolo Mataele’s last game, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 13.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
On the road, Western Michigan’s pass attempts are 6.1 under expected in 5 games. A −7.3 difference in pass attempts over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 16 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 12, 2024	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 34, Akron 24
Nov 9, 2021	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 45, Akron 40
Nov 4, 2020	at Akron	Western Michigan 58, Akron 13
Oct 15, 2017	at Western Michigan	Akron 14, Western Michigan 13
Oct 15, 2016	at Akron	Western Michigan 41, Akron 0
Nov 25, 2011	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 68, Akron 19
Oct 23, 2010	at Akron	Western Michigan 56, Akron 10
Oct 6, 2007	at Western Michigan	Akron 39, Western Michigan 38
Nov 24, 2006	at Akron	Western Michigan 17, Akron 0
Oct 6, 2001	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 31, Akron 14

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.