Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arizona State @ BYU

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Unranked at No. 8

BYU 27, Arizona State 20BYU was favored by 17, and Arizona State covered.

Arizona State at BYU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArizona State1 gameBYU1 game
Points−0.1−5.5
Points allowed−4.1−5.3
Total offense, yards−51−111
Total defense, yards−120−96
Touchdowns−0.4−0.5
Passer rating−27.7−3.2
Third downs−3.0%−16.2%
Sacks−0.1+3.4
Penalty yards+8.8−31.5
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.1+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

BYU

Arizona State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

BYU

  • BYU had covered 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • BYU had won 11 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 12.
  • BYU was 2.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 47th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.

Arizona State

  • Arizona State was 4.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 116th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Arizona State leads the series 21–9 since 1935. BYU has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • BYU had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • BYU had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • BYU was 5–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, BYU’s points allowed were 8.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 over expected.
  • On the road, Arizona State’s points allowed were 18.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at BYUBYU 27, Arizona State 20
Nov 23, 2024at Arizona StateArizona State 28, BYU 23
Sep 18, 2021at BYUBYU 27, Arizona State 17
Sep 12, 1998at BYUBYU 26, Arizona State 6
Sep 20, 1997at Arizona StateBYU 13, Arizona State 10
Oct 14, 1995at Arizona StateArizona State 29, BYU 21
Oct 29, 1994at BYUArizona State 36, BYU 15
Sep 16, 1978at Arizona StateArizona State 24, BYU 17
Nov 12, 1977at Arizona StateArizona State 24, BYU 13
Oct 30, 1976at BYUBYU 43, Arizona State 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.