Putting Up Numbers· college football

Appalachian State @ Georgia Southern

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Georgia Southern 19, Appalachian State 3Georgia Southern was favored by 6, and Georgia Southern covered.

Appalachian State at Georgia Southern: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAppalachian State1 gameGeorgia Southern1 game
Points−20.2−8.9
Points allowed−6.6−21.9
Total offense, yards−132+42
Total defense, yards+43−155
Touchdowns−2.7−2.4
Passer rating−39.2+1.9
Third downs−15.4%+9.6%
Sacks−1.5+1.1
Penalty yards−34.8+0.1
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Georgia Southern

Appalachian State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia Southern

  • Georgia Southern had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Georgia Southern was 3.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 34th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.

Appalachian State

  • Appalachian State was 4.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 28th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Georgia Southern leads the series 8–6 since 2014. Georgia Southern has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Georgia Southern had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Georgia Southern’s penalty yards were 22.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.2 under expected.
  • At home, Georgia Southern’s third-down conversion rate were 8.6% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.2% over expected.
  • Appalachian State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At night, Appalachian State’s pass attempts were 9.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
  • On the road, Appalachian State’s carries were 8.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.8 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Appalachian State’s passing yards were 44.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 19, Appalachian State 3
Dec 29, 2025neutralGeorgia Southern 29, Appalachian State 10
Nov 6, 2025at Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern 25, Appalachian State 23
Nov 30, 2024at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 29, Appalachian State 20
Nov 25, 2023at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 55, Georgia Southern 27
Nov 26, 2022at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 51, Appalachian State 48
Nov 27, 2021at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 27, Georgia Southern 3
Dec 12, 2020at Georgia SouthernAppalachian State 34, Georgia Southern 26
Oct 31, 2019at Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern 24, Appalachian State 21
Oct 25, 2018at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 34, Appalachian State 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.