Putting Up Numbers· college football

Tulane @ Charlotte

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Tulane 38, Charlotte 31Tulane was favored by 8.5, and Charlotte covered.

Tulane at Charlotte: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTulane1 gameCharlotte1 game
Points+2.8+2.1
Points allowed+8.8+19.4
Total offense, yards+44+39
Total defense, yards+115+145
Touchdowns0.0+0.6
Passer rating+0.1+2.5
Third downs+22.6%+6.6%
Sacks+1.1−2.4
Penalty yards+1.9−29.2
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Charlotte

Tulane

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Charlotte

  • Charlotte’s points of margin were 22.3 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 136th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 2.7 over expected.
  • Charlotte was 5.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 118th of 136, and 20.4 worse at home than away over its last 25, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

Tulane

  • Tulane was 1.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 96th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Tulane leads the series 3–0 since 2024. Tulane has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Charlotte had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Charlotte was 3–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Charlotte’s carries were 13.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.9 over expected.
  • At night, Charlotte’s third-down conversion rate were 20.0% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.2% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Charlotte’s penalty yards were 22.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 22.8 under expected.
  • At night, Tulane’s pass attempts were 6.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Tulane’s total yards were 68.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 118.9 over expected.
  • On the road, Tulane’s rushing yards were 47.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 59.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at CharlotteTulane 38, Charlotte 31
Nov 29, 2025at TulaneTulane 27, Charlotte 0
Oct 31, 2024at CharlotteTulane 34, Charlotte 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.