Jacksonville State @ 
New Mexico State
Jacksonville State 24, New Mexico State 0Jacksonville State was favored by 3, and Jacksonville State covered.
| a game | Jacksonville State1 game | New Mexico State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −0.8 | −27.6 |
| Points allowed | −25.7 | +0.9 |
| Total offense, yards | +87 | −155 |
| Total defense, yards | −155 | +71 |
| Touchdowns | +0.4 | −3.0 |
| Passer rating | −16.1 | −104.3 |
| Third downs | +16.3% | +6.1% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | −0.4 |
| Penalty yards | −19.3 | −10.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
New Mexico State
- Passing yardsAdam Damante29 passing yards
- Rushing yardsJames Jones112 rushing yards
- Receiving yardsBrodie Malone-Bradford19 receiving yards
Jacksonville State
Analysis
New Mexico State
- New Mexico State was 2.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 44th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−21.0 against the line this game.
Jacksonville State
- Jacksonville State had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Jacksonville State had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Jacksonville State had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Jacksonville State was 0.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 72nd of 136, and 13.3 worse away than at home over its last 25, 131st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+21.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Jacksonville State leads the series 2–1 since 2023. Jacksonville State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- New Mexico State was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, New Mexico State’s third-down conversion rate were 18.1% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.6% over expected.
- At home, New Mexico State’s points were 6.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 26.3 under expected.
- Jacksonville State was 3–1–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- After a bye, Jacksonville State’s pass attempts were 15.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.7 under expected.
- On the road, Jacksonville State’s third-down conversion rate were 14.1% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.0% over expected.
- In a conference game, Jacksonville State’s pass attempts were 4.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | at New Mexico State | Jacksonville State 24, New Mexico State 0 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State 54, New Mexico State 13 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | at New Mexico State | New Mexico State 20, Jacksonville State 17 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.