Putting Up Numbers· college football

West Virginia @ TCU

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

West Virginia 24, TCU 20TCU was favored by 10, and West Virginia covered.

West Virginia at TCU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWest Virginia1 gameTCU1 game
Points+7.8−15.3
Points allowed−5.1−5.6
Total offense, yards−52+12
Total defense, yards+100−162
Touchdowns+1.2−2.4
Passer rating−25.4−20.5
Third downs−3.2%+18.3%
Sacks+0.6+0.9
Penalty yards−4.0+23.1
Turnovers forced+1.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3+1.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

TCU

West Virginia

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

TCU

  • TCU was 1.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 59th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.0 against the line this game.

West Virginia

  • West Virginia was 3.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 102nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • West Virginia leads the series 9–6 since 1984. West Virginia has won 4 straight at TCU.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • TCU had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • TCU had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • TCU was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, TCU’s penalty yards were 27.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, TCU’s carries were 4.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6 over expected.
  • On the road, West Virginia’s penalty yards were 32.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7 under expected.
  • In a conference game, West Virginia’s total yards were 89.3 over expected in 4 games. A +118.3 difference in total yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 12 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 101.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at TCUWest Virginia 24, TCU 20
Oct 25, 2025at West VirginiaTCU 23, West Virginia 17
Sep 30, 2023at TCUWest Virginia 24, TCU 21
Oct 29, 2022at West VirginiaTCU 41, West Virginia 31
Oct 23, 2021at TCUWest Virginia 29, TCU 17
Nov 14, 2020at West VirginiaWest Virginia 24, TCU 6
Nov 29, 2019at TCUWest Virginia 20, TCU 17
Nov 10, 2018at West VirginiaWest Virginia 47, TCU 10
Oct 7, 2017at TCUTCU 31, West Virginia 24
Oct 22, 2016at West VirginiaWest Virginia 34, TCU 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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