Putting Up Numbers· college football

West Virginia @ Texas Tech

Sat, Nov 7 · Jones AT&T Stadium · Unranked at No. 13

The line has it Texas Tech 41, West Virginia 24.Texas Tech −16.5, total 64.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

West Virginia at Texas Tech: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameWest Virginia8 gamesTexas Tech8 games
+8.0+9.5
+9.5−4.9
+75+39
+127+6
+1.4+0.6
+12.1−4.5
+5.2%−1.2%
0.0+0.9
−1.2+1.1
−0.1+0.6
−0.2+0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Texas Tech

  • Texas Tech has won 13 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Texas Tech is 5.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 118th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

West Virginia

  • West Virginia is 1.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 85th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Texas Tech leads the series 8–7 since 1937. Texas Tech has won the last 2. Texas Tech has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Texas Tech has beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
  • Texas Tech has won 8 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Texas Tech has covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Texas Tech is 4–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Since Malcolm Simmons’ last game, Texas Tech’s rushing yards are 172.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Cameron Dickey, Texas Tech’s third-down conversion rate are 12.4% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • In a conference game, Texas Tech’s rushing yards are 51.2 over expected in 5 games. A +96.6 difference in rushing yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 13 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • West Virginia is 2–1–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • At night, West Virginia’s penalty yards are 26.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, West Virginia’s carries are 5.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a ranked opponent, West Virginia’s points are 9.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 29, 2025at West VirginiaTexas Tech 49, West Virginia 0
Nov 30, 2024at Texas TechTexas Tech 52, West Virginia 15
Sep 23, 2023at West VirginiaWest Virginia 20, Texas Tech 13
Oct 22, 2022at Texas TechTexas Tech 48, West Virginia 10
Oct 2, 2021at West VirginiaTexas Tech 23, West Virginia 20
Oct 24, 2020at Texas TechTexas Tech 34, West Virginia 27
Nov 9, 2019at West VirginiaTexas Tech 38, West Virginia 17
Sep 29, 2018at Texas TechWest Virginia 42, Texas Tech 34
Oct 14, 2017at West VirginiaWest Virginia 46, Texas Tech 35
Oct 15, 2016at Texas TechWest Virginia 48, Texas Tech 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.