Virginia Tech @ 
Clemson
Virginia Tech 20, Clemson 16Clemson was favored by 3, and Virginia Tech covered.
| a game | Virginia Tech1 game | Clemson1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.4 | −10.5 |
| Points allowed | −9.5 | −9.3 |
| Total offense, yards | −132 | −89 |
| Total defense, yards | −71 | −162 |
| Touchdowns | −0.6 | −2.4 |
| Passer rating | −3.2 | −14.0 |
| Third downs | −2.7% | −17.8% |
| Sacks | +1.3 | +3.4 |
| Penalty yards | −16.8 | +6.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Clemson
- Passing yardsTait Reynolds153 passing yards
- Rushing yardsTait Reynolds63 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsTait Reynolds1 rushing touchdown
Virginia Tech
Analysis
Clemson
- Clemson had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Clemson was 6.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 125th of 136, and 10.4 worse at home than away over its last 25, 133rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.0 against the line this game.
Virginia Tech
- Virginia Tech was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 68th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Clemson leads the series 23–12–1 since 1906.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Clemson had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Clemson was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- Against an unranked opponent, Clemson’s points allowed were 9.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 under expected.
- At home, Clemson’s pass attempts were 5.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.9 under expected.
- In a conference game, Clemson’s third-down conversion rate were 8.5% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.3% under expected.
- At night, Virginia Tech’s passing yards were 118.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 88.0 under expected.
- In a conference game, Virginia Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 8.9% under expected in 4 games. A −27.1% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.9% under expected.
- On the road, Virginia Tech’s penalty yards were 13.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.9 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Clemson | Virginia Tech 20, Clemson 16 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | at Virginia Tech | Clemson 24, Virginia Tech 14 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | at Virginia Tech | Clemson 45, Virginia Tech 10 |
| Sep 30, 2017 | at Virginia Tech | Clemson 31, Virginia Tech 17 |
| Dec 3, 2016 | neutral | Clemson 42, Virginia Tech 35 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | at Clemson | Clemson 38, Virginia Tech 17 |
| Dec 3, 2011 | neutral | Clemson 38, Virginia Tech 10 |
| Oct 1, 2011 | at Virginia Tech | Clemson 23, Virginia Tech 3 |
| Oct 6, 2007 | at Clemson | Virginia Tech 41, Clemson 23 |
| Oct 26, 2006 | at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech 24, Clemson 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.