San Jose State @ 
Nevada
Nevada 28, San Jose State 13Nevada was favored by 5.5, and Nevada covered.
| a game | San Jose State1 game | Nevada1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −10.9 | +1.2 |
| Points allowed | +3.8 | −6.0 |
| Total offense, yards | −133 | −68 |
| Total defense, yards | −22 | −139 |
| Touchdowns | −1.5 | +1.1 |
| Passer rating | −36.2 | +7.8 |
| Third downs | −27.8% | +12.2% |
| Sacks | +0.1 | +1.6 |
| Penalty yards | +15.1 | −1.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.1 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Nevada
- Passing yardsLuke Duncan178 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLuke Duncan2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsDominic Kelley82 rushing yards
San Jose State
Analysis
Nevada
- Nevada was 4.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 33rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+9.5 against the line this game.
San Jose State
- San Jose State had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- San Jose State was 1.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 54th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−9.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Nevada leads the series 22–8 since 1948. Nevada has won the last 2. Nevada has won 12 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, Nevada’s rushing yards were 112.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 68.8 under expected.
- In a conference game, Nevada’s carries were 8.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3 under expected.
- San Jose State was 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, San Jose State’s penalty yards were 15.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.1 over expected.
- On the road, San Jose State’s total yards were 41.9 over expected in 4 games. A +88.5 difference in total yards over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 11 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 116.1 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Nevada | Nevada 28, San Jose State 13 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at Nevada | Nevada 55, San Jose State 10 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | at San Jose State | San Jose State 35, Nevada 31 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | at San Jose State | San Jose State 35, Nevada 28 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | at Nevada | Nevada 27, San Jose State 24 |
| Dec 11, 2020 | at San Jose State | San Jose State 30, Nevada 20 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | at Nevada | Nevada 41, San Jose State 38 |
| Nov 17, 2018 | at San Jose State | Nevada 21, San Jose State 12 |
| Nov 11, 2017 | at Nevada | Nevada 59, San Jose State 14 |
| Oct 15, 2016 | at San Jose State | San Jose State 14, Nevada 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.