Putting Up Numbers· college football

San Diego State @ Colorado State

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Colorado State 56, San Diego State 49San Diego State was favored by 0.5, and Colorado State covered.

San Diego State at Colorado State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSan Diego State1 gameColorado State1 game
Points+13.3+22.3
Points allowed+25.3+28.2
Total offense, yards+109+119
Total defense, yards+142+269
Touchdowns+1.6+3.0
Passer rating+24.1+47.0
Third downs+19.1%+32.1%
Sacks−1.2−0.7
Penalty yards−30.9−29.8
Turnovers forced+0.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Colorado State

San Diego State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colorado State

  • Colorado State had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Colorado State was 2.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 93rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

San Diego State

  • San Diego State was 9.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 133rd of 136, and 16.0 worse away than at home over its last 25, 134th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Colorado State was 0–3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Colorado State’s points allowed were 18.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.4 over expected.
  • At home, Colorado State’s penalty yards were 25.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.1 under expected.
  • In a conference game, San Diego State’s pass attempts were 7.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.0 over expected.
  • On the road, San Diego State’s total yards were 97.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 179.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Colorado StateColorado State 56, San Diego State 49
Oct 3, 2025at San Diego StateSan Diego State 45, Colorado State 24
Nov 11, 2023at Colorado StateColorado State 22, San Diego State 19
Dec 5, 2020at San Diego StateSan Diego State 29, Colorado State 17
Oct 5, 2019at Colorado StateSan Diego State 24, Colorado State 10
Nov 26, 2016at San Diego StateColorado State 63, San Diego State 31
Oct 31, 2015at Colorado StateSan Diego State 41, Colorado State 17
Oct 13, 2012at San Diego StateSan Diego State 38, Colorado State 14
Nov 12, 2011at Colorado StateSan Diego State 18, Colorado State 15
Nov 6, 2010at San Diego StateSan Diego State 24, Colorado State 19

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.